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  OILPRICE.COM Top Oil Traders See Oil Topping $200 By End-2022 By  Irina Slav  - Mar 24, 2022, A number of big oil traders now predict crud...

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Showing posts with label greece. Show all posts
Showing posts with label greece. Show all posts

Tuesday, 8 March 2016

New Generations Suffer Growing Wealth Gap

Revealed: The 30-Year Economic Betrayal Dragging Down Generation Y’s Income


The full scale of the financial rout facing millennials is revealed today in exclusive new data that points to a perfect storm of factors besetting an entire generation of young adults around the world.
A combination of debt, joblessness, globalisation, demographics and rising house prices is depressing the incomes and prospects of millions of young people across the developed world, resulting in unprecedented inequality between generations.
A Guardian investigation into the prospects of millennials – those born between 1980 and the mid-90s, and often otherwise known as Generation Y – has found they are increasingly being cut out of the wealth generated in western societies.


Recently it occurred to me that the wave pool provides a metaphor for a complex, but disquieting phenomena that I've have been writing about at Oil-price.net for some time now -for previous articles see 2010, 2011, 2013 and 2015.
For anyone who has read one of these pieces you'll know how I have described that every three to four years volatility in the price of oil surges upwards as if spurred by an unseen wave machine.


Winter here is changing rapidly. Of the six warmest November-to-January seasons in Alaska since 1925, three have been in a row, including this one. Anchorage this year had its fourth-warmest February on record — at 29.9 degrees, almost 10 degrees above average — with little snow for weeks.


On the Republican side, Ben Carson was asked about Obama’s decision last year to “leave 10,000 U.S. troops in Afghanistan” indefinitely. That was in November 2015, and Carson dodged the question, shifting to a question of his own — on humiliation as counterterrorism — that he posed as an answer. “How do we make them look like losers?” he asked, arguably elevating the discourse on foreign policy in this most humiliating of election campaigns.





Final nail in the coffin: Greece faces financial meltdown AGAIN amid threat of end of Euro


Tsiprias


GREECE is heading towards another financial meltdown in a repeat of last summer’s fiasco that could see them crash out of the euro.

Greek leaders have failed to make enough progress on reforms aimed at bringing down their monstrous debt after multi-billion pound bailouts last summer.
And now begging Athens chiefs have reached stalemate in negotiations with creditors to decide how to claw back financial stability.
The three main lenders - the eurozone, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) – all have different ideas on how much the country should lower spending as part of the bailout programme agreed last August.
Germany is taking a hard-line and refusing to give Greece more time to reach budget goals agreed with international lenders as part of August's bailout programme, despite the country struggling to deal with the migrant crisis.




Monday, 24 August 2015

Buckle Your Seat Belts - Markets Heading For Freefall, & More






The Dow Correction And Everything Else That Went Wrong in Stocks



The global equity selloff that sent benchmark indexes to their worst week in four years played havoc with individual stocks and industries in the U.S. market.
To energy shares already snared in a bear market, add semiconductor stocks, which crossed the threshold by capping a decline of more than 20 percent. Apple Inc. also entered a bear market, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average entered a so-called correction with a decline of 10 percent from its last record. Biotechnology, small caps, media, transportation and commodity companies have also entered corrections.
The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index sank 3.2 percent on Friday to cap a weekly loss of 5.8 percent, the worst daily and weekly declines in almost four years. The benchmark gauge is down 7.5 percent from its last record in May, after dropping out of a trading range that has supported it for most of the year.





The prime minister insisted in an address on public television that he was proud of his time in office and had got “a good deal for the country”, despite bringing it “close to the edge”. He added that he was “shortly going to submit my resignation, and the resignation of my government, to the president”. The prime minister will be replaced for the duration of the short campaign by the president of Greece’s supreme court, Vassiliki Thanou-Christophilou – a vocal bailout opponent – as head of a caretaker government.




Nick Butler, former head of strategy for BP, told me, “We are in for a longer and more sustained period of low oil prices than in the late 1980s.” Why? He points to a perfect storm. Supply is up substantially because a decade of high oil prices encouraged producers throughout the world to invest vast amounts of money in finding new sources. Those investments are made and will keep supply flowing for years. Leonardo Maugeri, former head of strategy for the Italian energy giant Eni, says, “There is no way to stop this phenomenon.” He predicts that prices could actually drop to $35 per barrel next year, down from more than $105 last summer.




 

"Ask anyone who knows anything about Greece's finances and they will tell you this deal is not going to work.""The Greek finance minister... says more or less the same thin,






Study: Germany made €100bn profit on Greek crisisGreece’s biggest creditor Germany has made a huge profit on the country’s debt crisis over the last 5 years as it saved through lower interest payments on funds borrowed amid investor “flights to safety.”









The U.S. military has run the numbers on a sustained fight with Moscow, and they do not look good for the American side.

Is It Time to Get into Crash Positions?

Maybe this flight won't go into a tailspin; perhaps it simply runs out of fuel.
With stock markets diving around the globe, a pressing question arises: is it time to get into Crash Positions?
In case you forgot how to get into Crash Positions, here's a reminder:
After a dizzying 500+ point drop in the Dow on Friday, should we brace for impact? There are plenty of fundamental and technical reasons to view the swoon this week as the initial downturn that presages a crash landing.
But if we look at the last equivalent spike down in October 2014, we're not so sure. Both spikes (October 2014 and August 2015) smashed through the lower Bollinger band, but the volume in last week's plummet was nothing special compared to the 2014 swoon.
Big moves have a bit more credence if they're accompanied by massive volume.

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Image result for sir richard bransonSir Richard BransonVirgin Group – Anyone who owns more than 400 companies and is worth billions of dollars is clearly doing many things right. I admire Richard Branson’s tenacity, and I admire his personal brand—so much so, that when my paired leadership partner, Mary Michelle Scott, and I recently traveled to Australia with several of our team in our launch of Fishbowl Australia, we made the effort and kept the commitment to fly with Virgin Airlines every step of the way.


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Thursday, 13 August 2015

Saudi Petro Bond Issue Presses Liquidity As Currency Crisis Looms? & More



PLATINUM WEALTH PARTNERS' INSIGHTS


Back on July 9th we issued a " BIG Market Warning" essentially stating that we are facing a perfect financial and market storm that could only be expected to get worse. Well it did. And moreover, key  indicators are still pointing south.

" BIG Market Warning"


What's different this time too  is that suddenly the once cash-rich oil-producing countries are heading for dior straits and  they could be crippled financially by the fall in prices and demand volumes. The fact that Saudi Arabia, the world's  largest oil producer is out raising money with new bond issues tells us a story of revenues that are now insufficient to cover its government's  on-going expenditures. The implications of this are  vast and frightening because  risks regarding economic, social and political volatility rise dramatically. Much more could be said as to where this might lead -

 It all ends badly.

To sum up., what has transpired over the past four weeks is a metaphorical domino -effect on global stock markets, and  then related economies. Industrial production is now slumping ,while consumer confidence is dropping like a stone in key economies. Most nations are urgently reaching into their bag of " stimulus gadgets" hoping  - AGAIN -  to ward off the inevitable wreckage .




At this point, their tricks are unlikely to pull a rabbit-out- of- the -hat, any time soon....




Saudi Riyal Falls 

In Forwards Market As Bond Issue Hits Liquidity


The Saudi Arabian riyal fell to its lowest forwards market level against the U.S. dollar in over six years on Tuesday as a rare bond issue by the Saudi government tightened liquidity in the kingdom's money markets.
One-year dollar/riyal forwards climbed as high as 144 points, their highest level since December 2008. Previously this year, they had been trading almost entirely in a range of zero to 100 points.
Image result for saudi oil sheiks panic cartoonTraders said forwards were moving in response to a jump of longer-term Saudi riyal money rates, after the government sold riyal bonds to local commercial banks this week to help cover a huge budget deficit caused by low oil prices.
The bond issue pushed the cost of two-year riyal funds in the interbank market up to 1.53 percent this week from as low as 1.05 percent six weeks ago.

The government sold 20 billion riyals ($5.3 billion) of five-, seven- and 10-year bonds, only its second sovereign bond issue since 2007. Its first was in July, to quasi-sovereign institutions.





Malaysia’s economy has come under pressure as Brent crude prices that have more than halved from their 2014 peak to around $50 a barrel weigh on earnings for Asia’s only major net oil exporter. A government report on Thursday may show second-quarter growth slowed to 4.5 percent, the least since the first three months of 2013, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey.


Greece has reached a third bail-out deal

Greece reaches an agreement "in principle" with lenders for a third bail-out, but economists say fiscal targets are "utterly unachievable"


Latin American currencies fell on Tuesday after China's decision to devalue the yuan by nearly 2 percent fueled a sharp drop in commodities prices as well as concerns about the competitiveness of emerging market exporters.
Latin America's most traded currencies - including those of Mexico, Brazil, Chile, and Colombia - all dropped about 1 percent following the Chinese move,








Etsuro Honda says a more than $24 billion package needed if growth weakens as expected




Of course, all of this is great news for U.S. natural gas producers. Who are seeing a potentially huge source of demand emerging as pipelines into Mexico open up. By some estimates, Mexican consumers could take up to 10% of total U.S. natgas production over the next two to three years.
Whether midstream or E&P, this is a space that's going to create some of the biggest shifts -- and opportunities -- in global energy markets.

 Stay tuned.





The United Kingdom saw the steepest single-year drop in greenhouse gas pollution in more than two decades in 2014, according to government data released on Thursday. The country's carbon emissions fell 8.4 percent, even as its economy grew by 2.6 percent.
The decline in carbon emissions was the largest ever in a year when the U.K. economy expanded, according to The Carbon Brief.




BEIJING--Chinese financial institutions issued 1.48 trillion yuan ($238.3 billion) worth of new yuan loans in July, up from 1.27 trillion yuan in June and above economists' expectations, data from People's Bank of China showed Tuesday.
Newly extended loans in July were above the 760.8 billion yuan forecast by a Wall Street Journal poll of 13 economists.
The PBOC said in a statement on its website that the higher loan growth was driven by government's recent supportive policies, stronger credit demand boosted by more investment and a recovering property market. 






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PepsiCo, another of 100 Most Powerful Women - Forbes, has not only led her company to record financial results but is making strides to move PepsiCo in a healthier direction, leading the courageous charge to shed traditional fast food properties and to replace them with initiatives to supply healthier foods. She is deeply caring and committed as a senior executive. She is a fun-loving executive as well—she played lead guitar for an all-woman rock band in college, loved to play cricket, and is known to sing karaoke and perform at corporate gatherings to this day. Yes, I have been known to relate to her fun-loving spirit as a senior executive as well.




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An Inconvenient Truth



"Eurasia BIG Bang" 


What Happens When Geo-Political Shifts Occur?






EXISTENTIAL REALITY 


"Humanity's Coming of Age"

 - Last Days: Hegemony or Survival -





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