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#BIG #PLAYERS SEE #OIL AT $200 By 2022-End

  OILPRICE.COM Top Oil Traders See Oil Topping $200 By End-2022 By  Irina Slav  - Mar 24, 2022, A number of big oil traders now predict crud...

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Showing posts with label oil. Show all posts
Showing posts with label oil. Show all posts

Friday, 11 March 2016

Reality Check: Saudi Arabia is Going Broke!

 

 Road to Poor House?

"All the Saudis have done is create an existential crisis for  themselves.

If the Saudis don’t stop flooding the market—and there are no signs they will—they won’t be shooting themselves in the foot… but in the head. Saudi Arabia will either collapse or surrender—and stop flooding the market.

Either way, oil will eventually go a lot higher." 



The Coming Collapse of Saudi Arabia 




 They met in secret to plan a devastating attack…
Two powerful men, colluding at a palace in the Middle East.
In September 2014, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry flew to Saudi Arabia. He was there to meet with King Abdullah, the country’s ruler and one of the richest men in the world.
Informed observers say Kerry and Abdullah drew up a plan at this meeting to destroy their common enemies: Russia and Iran.
To carry out the attack, they wouldn’t use fighter jets, tanks and ground troops. They would use a much more powerful weapon…


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With oilfield activity suddenly contracting, production from a dwindling number of freshly fracked wells would be unable to compensate for the rapid depletion of older wells. Yet that long-anticipated turning point has only just begun to emerge - partly because producers had a couple more tricks in store.
Some drillers are spending a little bit more on measures that are subtly flattening the so-called "production curve" of shale wells, either by limiting the initial surge in output or by squeezing a few additional barrels out of older wells, according to industry executives and analysts.



What does all this mean to investors? If you are not already long gold, this is the time to be patiently looking for an entry point. It is not recommend to jump in already now, as gold can typically drop fast and sharp with the aim to shake out weak hands.
Volatility is coming, and, as always, that comes with opportunities for patient investors and traders. Rob Tovell will issue a Trade Alert when an ideal entry point is presenting itself with a signal to go long



 Ontario Debt Just Keeps Growing


Over the 12-year period, Ontario’s net debt ballooned by $10,292 per person, which was the largest per-capita increase in the country.

Hong Kong Home Sales Tumble 70% as Slowdown Intensifies  





Hong Kong residential home sales plunged 70 percent in February from a year earlier to a 25-year low, as falling prices and economic uncertainty deterred buyers.
Last month, 1,807 homes were sold in Hong Kong, compared with 6,027 a year earlier, according to government statistics. Home sales fell from 2,045 in January, the data show.
“The newspapers keep on saying the market is going down and buyers think they can get a cheaper house half-a-year later or one year later, and so are waiting," said Thomas Fok, a property agent at Centaline Property Agency in Hong Kong’s upscale Mid-levels West district where he hasn’t made one sale this year.
Property prices have declined 10 percent from their September highs amid uncertainty over the economy at home and in China, possible interest-rate increases and plans by the government to boost housing supply in the next five years. Senior Hong Kong government officials have ruled out relaxing property curbs, which include extra stamp duties and caps on mortgage levels.

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Tuesday, 8 March 2016

New Generations Suffer Growing Wealth Gap

Revealed: The 30-Year Economic Betrayal Dragging Down Generation Y’s Income


The full scale of the financial rout facing millennials is revealed today in exclusive new data that points to a perfect storm of factors besetting an entire generation of young adults around the world.
A combination of debt, joblessness, globalisation, demographics and rising house prices is depressing the incomes and prospects of millions of young people across the developed world, resulting in unprecedented inequality between generations.
A Guardian investigation into the prospects of millennials – those born between 1980 and the mid-90s, and often otherwise known as Generation Y – has found they are increasingly being cut out of the wealth generated in western societies.


Recently it occurred to me that the wave pool provides a metaphor for a complex, but disquieting phenomena that I've have been writing about at Oil-price.net for some time now -for previous articles see 2010, 2011, 2013 and 2015.
For anyone who has read one of these pieces you'll know how I have described that every three to four years volatility in the price of oil surges upwards as if spurred by an unseen wave machine.


Winter here is changing rapidly. Of the six warmest November-to-January seasons in Alaska since 1925, three have been in a row, including this one. Anchorage this year had its fourth-warmest February on record — at 29.9 degrees, almost 10 degrees above average — with little snow for weeks.


On the Republican side, Ben Carson was asked about Obama’s decision last year to “leave 10,000 U.S. troops in Afghanistan” indefinitely. That was in November 2015, and Carson dodged the question, shifting to a question of his own — on humiliation as counterterrorism — that he posed as an answer. “How do we make them look like losers?” he asked, arguably elevating the discourse on foreign policy in this most humiliating of election campaigns.





Final nail in the coffin: Greece faces financial meltdown AGAIN amid threat of end of Euro


Tsiprias


GREECE is heading towards another financial meltdown in a repeat of last summer’s fiasco that could see them crash out of the euro.

Greek leaders have failed to make enough progress on reforms aimed at bringing down their monstrous debt after multi-billion pound bailouts last summer.
And now begging Athens chiefs have reached stalemate in negotiations with creditors to decide how to claw back financial stability.
The three main lenders - the eurozone, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) – all have different ideas on how much the country should lower spending as part of the bailout programme agreed last August.
Germany is taking a hard-line and refusing to give Greece more time to reach budget goals agreed with international lenders as part of August's bailout programme, despite the country struggling to deal with the migrant crisis.




Wednesday, 2 March 2016

Panic Grows as Moody's Cuts China's Rating Outlook

China  Another  Enron?

Really, when you think about it , what is  the  difference between the two, when they both  are great benefactors of ghosts and zombies and then go on to apply the most opaque and misleading accounting practises, at all levels of organization with utter impunity? No wonder investors and creditors are heading for the hills. To answer the question: there is no difference - and the results are sure to be  the same.

Now  that   brings up the next question  regarding Bernie Madoff...


Moody's Cuts China Outlook to Negative


Factory_in_China cc
US ratings agency Moody's has cut its outlook for China from "stable" to "negative".
While reaffirming its current debt rating, the agency warned that reforms were needed to avoid a downgrade.
Moody's said the change in outlook was based on expectations that Beijing's fiscal strength would continue to decline.
The negative outlook comes on the heels of fresh data suggesting China's economy is continuing to lose steam.
Moody's said it was concerned over China's incomplete implementation of much needed reforms.

High debt burden






"Without credible and efficient reforms, China's GDP growth would slow more markedly as a high debt burden dampens business investment and demographics turn increasingly unfavourable," Moody's said in a note.


'Even God Forgot This Place': Welcome to the Oilfields of Azerbaijan  

https://news.vice.com/article/even-god-forgot-this-place-welcome-to-the-oilfields-of-azerbaijan
It's unlikely that any European Games spectators will make it to Balakhani, yet the coveted crude that fuels what was the world's first oil industry was originally dredged from this exact spot. In 2013, while Europe was still bleakly trudging through recession, Azerbaijan sold an average of 880,000 barrels of oil per day, and was one of the world's fastest-growing economies for several years.



To be sure, the bond promptly surged, even as the stock priced tumbled, on what was seen as a very bondholder-friendly action (and thus to the detriment of shareholders) and hit a price of 95 cents while the stock tumbled by 15%, generating a 30% return for anyone who had decided to go along. At that moment we urged anyone in the trade to take their profits and go home, taking a few weeks, or the rest of 2016, off.



Today, the equivalent of those bankers are shareholders. They expect not just interest, but tremendous returns on their initial investments. They witnessed the success of Facebook and Google and want those sorts of returns, too. So they put money into a company like Twitter, and then expect to earn back 100 or 1,000 times on their original investment. The fact that Twitter makes 500 million dollars a quarter is considered an abject failure by the investors. And so Twitter must look for some way to “pivot”—that is, change from a super successful company that lets people send 140-character messages, into something else.





China  Prepares  Massive  Lay-offs and Compensation




Beijing has prepared a plan to lay off five to six million state workers in the next three years, Reuters reports. According to the media, the authorities are aiming to tackle overcapacity and pollution and have prepared lots of cash to prevent social unrest.



Remember  Ghost  Cities?
(Curator's  Vdeo Note) 

 


China will spend 150 billion yuan ($23 billion) in compensation for laid-off workers in just the coal and steel sectors. The overall job cut could reach 5-6 million workers in sectors facing a supply glut, the media reports, quoting two ‘reliable’ sources close to the Chinese leadership.

The figure will grow according to the report, as more spending will be needed to help other industries. China will also have to pay to handle the debt left behind by ‘zombie’ state companies. These are firms that continue to operate even though they are insolvent or near bankruptcy; some of them continue to pay workers fearing the social impact.


READ MORE

https://www.rt.com/business/334108-china-layoff-steel-coal/ 
 
Plus more...

http://uk.reuters.com/article/us-china-economy-layoffs-exclusive-idUKKCN0W33D

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Friday, 26 February 2016

Russia's Economy Hitting the Skids

Things are bad in Russia, right now - and they are bound to get worse before they get better. Oil prices are not expected to increase substantively until 2017,  while production levels are  being punished. Too much economic pressure  on Russia, however, is not good for global peace.
Keep a steady  eye on this situation.

Can things get any worse for Russia? You're about to find out


For a decade, Dmitri Barinov has been following the volatile economy of his homeland from the safe distance of Union Investment’s offices in Frankfurt. Last year, as other money managers were steering clear of Russia’s broken economy, the Moscow-born Barinov pulled off something of a coup: He persuaded his bosses to take the plunge and buy Russian government bonds. It was a narrow bet, but he ended up winning because the central bank—after implementing the biggest interest rate hike since the Russian financial crisis in 1998 to prop up the collapsing ruble—changed course and aggressively backtracked. In the first 10 months of 2015, ruble-denominated government bonds handed investors such as Barinov a 25 percent return in dollar terms, the biggest gain for local bonds anywhere.

Read More

http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/can-things-get-any-worse-for-russia-youre-about-to-find-out/ar-BBpU3Q4?li=BBnbfcL



In Syria, rather than cooperate with Russia and Iran in helping Assad’s military defeat the jihadists, the Obama administration has continued playing it cute, insisting – as Secretary of State John Kerry has said recently – that armed “legitimate opposition groups” exist separately from Al Qaeda’s Nusra Front.




If the price of oil does not go back up, this could be just the beginning. It is being reported that a whopping 35 percent of all oil and gas companies around the planet are at risk of falling into bankruptcy, and the financial institutions that have been backing these energy companies are getting very nervous.




That’s particularly problematic considering that emergencies happen more often than you might think. A 2014 survey by American Express found that half of all Americans had experienced an unforeseen expense in the past year — some of which could be considered an emergency. Indeed, 44% of those who had an unforeseen expense(s) had one for health care and 46% for car trouble — two items that for many Americans are must-pay items, as you need a car to get to work and your health expenses are usually not optional. 

Thousands Told Their Pension Savings at Risk



Thousands of workers who have been encouraged by the government to take out pension plans could be at risk of losing their savings, the industry regulator has told the BBC.
It follows fears that dozens of companies providing auto enrolment pensions are too small to survive.
The BBC has also uncovered evidence that employers and workers are being deliberately misled by some providers.
The government said it was aware of the issue, and was planning to take action.
Independent experts claim the problem could affect up to a quarter of a million people a year who are putting their savings into so-called master trust pensions.


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