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Showing posts with label panic. Show all posts
Showing posts with label panic. Show all posts

Wednesday, 2 March 2016

Panic Grows as Moody's Cuts China's Rating Outlook

China  Another  Enron?

Really, when you think about it , what is  the  difference between the two, when they both  are great benefactors of ghosts and zombies and then go on to apply the most opaque and misleading accounting practises, at all levels of organization with utter impunity? No wonder investors and creditors are heading for the hills. To answer the question: there is no difference - and the results are sure to be  the same.

Now  that   brings up the next question  regarding Bernie Madoff...


Moody's Cuts China Outlook to Negative


Factory_in_China cc
US ratings agency Moody's has cut its outlook for China from "stable" to "negative".
While reaffirming its current debt rating, the agency warned that reforms were needed to avoid a downgrade.
Moody's said the change in outlook was based on expectations that Beijing's fiscal strength would continue to decline.
The negative outlook comes on the heels of fresh data suggesting China's economy is continuing to lose steam.
Moody's said it was concerned over China's incomplete implementation of much needed reforms.

High debt burden






"Without credible and efficient reforms, China's GDP growth would slow more markedly as a high debt burden dampens business investment and demographics turn increasingly unfavourable," Moody's said in a note.


'Even God Forgot This Place': Welcome to the Oilfields of Azerbaijan  

https://news.vice.com/article/even-god-forgot-this-place-welcome-to-the-oilfields-of-azerbaijan
It's unlikely that any European Games spectators will make it to Balakhani, yet the coveted crude that fuels what was the world's first oil industry was originally dredged from this exact spot. In 2013, while Europe was still bleakly trudging through recession, Azerbaijan sold an average of 880,000 barrels of oil per day, and was one of the world's fastest-growing economies for several years.



To be sure, the bond promptly surged, even as the stock priced tumbled, on what was seen as a very bondholder-friendly action (and thus to the detriment of shareholders) and hit a price of 95 cents while the stock tumbled by 15%, generating a 30% return for anyone who had decided to go along. At that moment we urged anyone in the trade to take their profits and go home, taking a few weeks, or the rest of 2016, off.



Today, the equivalent of those bankers are shareholders. They expect not just interest, but tremendous returns on their initial investments. They witnessed the success of Facebook and Google and want those sorts of returns, too. So they put money into a company like Twitter, and then expect to earn back 100 or 1,000 times on their original investment. The fact that Twitter makes 500 million dollars a quarter is considered an abject failure by the investors. And so Twitter must look for some way to “pivot”—that is, change from a super successful company that lets people send 140-character messages, into something else.





China  Prepares  Massive  Lay-offs and Compensation




Beijing has prepared a plan to lay off five to six million state workers in the next three years, Reuters reports. According to the media, the authorities are aiming to tackle overcapacity and pollution and have prepared lots of cash to prevent social unrest.



Remember  Ghost  Cities?
(Curator's  Vdeo Note) 

 


China will spend 150 billion yuan ($23 billion) in compensation for laid-off workers in just the coal and steel sectors. The overall job cut could reach 5-6 million workers in sectors facing a supply glut, the media reports, quoting two ‘reliable’ sources close to the Chinese leadership.

The figure will grow according to the report, as more spending will be needed to help other industries. China will also have to pay to handle the debt left behind by ‘zombie’ state companies. These are firms that continue to operate even though they are insolvent or near bankruptcy; some of them continue to pay workers fearing the social impact.


READ MORE

https://www.rt.com/business/334108-china-layoff-steel-coal/ 
 
Plus more...

http://uk.reuters.com/article/us-china-economy-layoffs-exclusive-idUKKCN0W33D

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Monday, 29 June 2015

GREECE "NO DEAL" Bank Panic Expected Monday, & More

Banks will remain shut until at least after a July 5 referendum called by Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras on whether to accept austerity in exchange for a European bailout, Kathemerini newspaper reported, citing unnamed sources.














Paul Craig Roberts joins the show today to discuss Greece’s possible credit default and its implications, the ongoing tensions between Russia and America, and the U.S. bond market bubble















"The Greek authorities have asked for a month extension. But in that month there can be no disbursements," he said. "How does the Greek government think that it will survive and deal with its problems in that period? I do not know," Dijsselbloem said.












Previous sharp drops in the stock markets this year have been quickly countered by optimistic statements in state-controlled media. But Saturday’s moves, which included the fourth reduction in interest rates since last November, were unusual in so closely following a stock market nose-dive.














The BP report also shows China’s energy demand is growing at the slowest pace since the Asian Financial Crisis in the 1990s as the communist nation suffers a slowing of its economy and tries to reduce its reliance on heavy industry, Bloomberg reported















Collapse, Part 5: Things Fall Apart

It is impossible to wean an economy that relies on debt and leverage for its "growth" of excessive debt and leverage.


The phrase famously appears in William Butler Yeats' 1919 poem, The Second Coming:






Turning and turning in the widening gyre

The falcon cannot hear the falconer;

Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;

Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world,

The blood-dimmed tide is loosed, and everywhere

The ceremony of innocence is drowned;

The best lack all conviction, while the worst

Are full of passionate intensity.
















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Sunday, 14 July 2013

MARKET ALERT - Financial Times - Portugal's Bonds Soar 7.9% - MORE Euro Troubles

MARKET ALERT

Europe shifts back into the spotlight this week, as Euro bond yields could soar higher and then reverberating around the globe as jittery traders push the button. Bond Vigilante's may be in for an early Christmas Bonus - long before the.summer is over. It is unlikely that equity markets can protect themselves if the bonds decide to take cover. Safety first, and every man for himself.

First Financial Insights
July 12, 2013

Financial Times - Portugal's Bonds Soar 7.9% -  MORE Euro Troubles  




Just add another country to the list of European nations that are seeking "national salvation" as 10 year bonds rose to 7.9% this past Friday, settling back to 7.27% - up 53 basis points. Again the neo-classical economists have no solutions and no plan, other than to print money and provide bail-outs. Nor do they even remotely understand that the underlying issues stem from physical economic constraints - too many people and too few resources. So the economic cancer that came to the forefront in Greece, is masticating around the continent, remember Cyprus just a few short months ago . 

Here's the real problem - as Europe falls apart and bond yields move to 10% and higher in these "thinly traded markets," the fears will begin to take hold and grip the global markets as well. At the same time, the European economies are also starting to slip into one of the profoundest depressions ever to be experienced, as asset prices deflate and consumer disposal spending is over-burdened with huge increases in debt service costs. A One - Two body blow.

This could the snowball that plunges the bond markets into a long bear-cycle. Expect the turmoil in Europe, to test the nerves of jittery bond traders in Asia and North America this week. And this could also trigger long over due downside actions in the equity markets around the world next week.

Seems like there is no where to run; no where to hide.For now.

INVESTORS INSIGHTS
First Financial Insights
July 11, 2013

Who will pull the trigger?



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